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CLINICAL STUDY |
1 Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark and 2 The Danish Twin Registry, Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health and 3 Department of Statistics, University of Southern Denmark, JB Winsløwsvej 9B, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark
(Correspondence should be addressed to P S Hansen; Email: piaskovhansen{at}dadlnet.dk)
| Abstract |
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Methods: A representative sample of healthy twin pairs was identified through the Danish Twin Registry; 1372 individuals, divided into 283 monozygotic (MZ), 285 dizygotic same sex (DZ), and 118 opposite sex twin pairs were investigated. Serum TPOab and serum Tgab were measured. Proband-wise concordance and intraclass correlations were calculated, and quantitative genetic modelling was performed.
Results: Probandwise concordance and intraclass correlations were consistently higher for MZ than for DZ twin pairs indicating genetic influence. Genetic components (with 95% confidence intervals) accounted for 73% (4689%) of the liability of being thyroid antibody positive. Adjusting for covariates (age, TSH and others), the estimate for genetic influence on serum TPOab concentrations was 61% (4970%) in males and 72% (6479%) in females. For serum Tgab concentrations, the estimates were 39% (2451%) and 75% (6681%) respectively.
Conclusions: Early markers of thyroid autoimmunity appear to be under strong genetic influence. The analyses suggest that it is the same set of genes that operate in males and females. However, complex mechanisms such as dominance and/or epistasis may be involved.
| Introduction |
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Family studies have demonstrated an aggregation of thyroid autoantibodies in the relatives of patients with overt thyroid disease (710), and it has been proposed that the tendency for thyroid autoantibody production is genetically determined (712). However, the hypothesis of simple genetic transmission has been questioned in favour of multifactorial inheritance (9, 13). Moreover, family studies cannot determine whether the observed familial aggregation is due to shared genes or a shared environment. Using twins, we have very recently shown that the phenomenon of familial clustering of thyroid autoantibodies is genetically determined (14). However, being ascertained through a proband with overt AITD, the twins represented a selected study sample (14) and the study did not give any information on the relative impact of genetic and environmental factors in the aetiology of spontaneous thyroid autoantibody production in healthy euthyroid individuals.
The limited twin data available with respect to the presence of thyroid autoantibodies in euthyroid twin individuals are conflicting (15, 16). Buchanan et al. (15) suggested a strong environmental influence, whereas Phillips et al. (16) found higher concordance rates for thyroid autoantibodies in monozygotic (MZ) than in dizygotic (DZ) twins, indicating a genetic influence. However, both studies were small and did not allow precise estimates of the impact of genetic and environmental factors.
The presence of thyroid autoantibodies is associated with gender (5, 9, 17, 18) and increasing age (5, 18, 19). An influence of iodine intake is suggested at least in the older age groups (17, 18). In euthyroid subjects, TPOab are correlated with increasing thyrotrophin (TSH) levels (19), whereas tobacco smoking and oestrogen use are without influence on TPOab levels (19). Whether factors such as infectious agents (20, 21) and stress (21) are involved is under debate.
In this study, we estimate the relative importance of genetic and environmental effects for the presence of thyroid autoantibodies in a large population-based sample of healthy euthyroid twins. Furthermore, the relative contribution of a number of possible environmental factors involved in antibody production is clarified.
| Subjects and methods |
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The present study is part of a nationwide project (GEMINAKAR) investigating the relative influence of genetic and environmental factors on a variety of different traits among Danish twins. Based on a questionnaire survey concerning physical health and health-related behaviour performed in 1994, a representative sample of complete twin pairs was recruited from the population-based Danish Twin Registry (22). The twins included in the GEMINAKAR study were healthy as reported by themselves, although individuals with chronic diseases such as low back pain, migraine etc. were included in the study population. With the exception of oestrogens, including contraceptives, no twins were taking medicine known to affect the pituitarythyroid axis or thyroid size. In order to get an equal distribution of twin pairs, sampling was stratified according to age, sex and zygosity.
The examinations were running in parallel, throughout the year, at The Danish Twin Registry in Odense and at The Institute of Preventive Medicine in Copenhagen from 1997 to 2000. The twins in a pair were examined on the same day. All twins with at least one partner living in the western part of Denmark were examined in Odense, whereas all those where both partners were living in the eastern part of Denmark were examined in Copenhagen. With the exception of 39 twin pairs, both twins in a pair lived in the same geographical region of Denmark. Denmark is regarded as an area with mild to moderate iodine deficiency (18). Blood samples were drawn between 0800 and 0900 h after a 12 h fast. A clinical examination was performed and the twins filled in health-related questionnaires including questions regarding thyroid disease, smoking habits and medicine intake.
TSH, serum free thyroxine (free T4), serum free triiodothyronine (free T3) and serum TPOab and Tgab were measured.
In all, 1512 individuals (756 twin pairs) were examined. However, due to a missing blood sample (39 persons in 20 twin pairs) and self-reported thyroid disease (32 persons in 28 twin pairs) 48 twin pairs were excluded. Moreover, three subjects had overt biochemical hyperthyroidism defined as decreased serum TSH (serum TSH <0.3 mU/l) and increased serum free T4 (serum free T4 >17.7 pmol/l) and/or increased serum free T3 (serum free T3 >7.4 pmol/l). Additionally, 16 individuals had overt hypothyroidism defined as serum TSH >4.0 mU/l and serum free T4 <9.9 pmol/l. These individuals and their co-twins were also excluded, leaving 1380 healthy individuals or 690 twin pairs. A single opposite sex (OS) twin pair was excluded because one of the twins had a missing serum Tgab value. Thus, 284 MZ, 286 DZ and 119 OS twin pairs were included using dichotomized data. Analysing serum TPOab and Tgab as continuous data, two subjects were regarded as outliers due to TPOab values above 3000 kIU/ml, and these two twins and their co-twins were excluded. Finally, due to a missing serum T3 value one twin pair was excluded, leaving 686 twin pairs distributed into 283 MZ, 285 DZ and 118 OS twin pairs. Mean ages of the MZ, DZ and OS twins were 37.1 years (S.D. 10.9), 36.9 years (S.D. 10.4) and 37.1 years (S.D. 11.6) respectively. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants and the study was approved by all regional Danish Scientific-Ethical Committees (Case File 97/25 PMC).
Assays
Serum TSH was measured using a time-resolved fluoroimmunometric assay (AutoDELFIA hTSH Ultra Kit; Perkin Elmer/Wallac, Turku, Finland). Reference range is 0.304.00 mU/l. Serum free T4 and serum free T3 were determined using the AutoDELFIA FT4 and FT3 (Perkin Elmer/Wallac) respectively. For free T4 the reference range is 9.917.7 pmol/l, and for free T3 it is 4.37.4 pmol/l. TPOab and Tgab were measured by solid-phase, two step, time-resolved fluoroimmunoassays (AutoDELFIA TPOab kit and hTgab kit respectively; Perkin Elmer/Wallac). Intra- and interassay coefficients of variation for TPOab and Tgab were between 3.2 and 8.4% and 3.8 and 10.1% respectively, in the range of 50155 kIU/ml. Twin pairs were analysed within the same run. All the serum samples were analysed at the same laboratory in Odense. Zygosity was established by analysis of nine highly polymorphic restriction fragment length polymorphisms and microsatellite markers widely scattered through the genome with an Applied Biosystems AmpFISTR Profiles Plus kit (Perkin Elmer) (23).
Statistical analyses
Phenotype definitions Analyses were performed with dichotomized data as well as continuous data. Using dichotomized data, a positive thyroid antibody status was defined as a positive TPOab and/or Tgab value. As recommended by the Perkin Elmer Corporation, values above 60 kIU/ml were regarded as positive for TPOab as well as for Tgab. In addition, the analyses were performed using cut-off values of 20 and 100 kIU/ml. Using continuous data, TPOab and Tgab levels were analysed separately. The frequency distribution of serum TPOab and Tgab were skewed and after descriptive analyses but prior to twin analyses, the data were transformed using the natural logarithm.
Descriptive analyses The potential effects of gender, age, serum TSH, serum free T4, serum free T3, examination place and cigarette smoking (non-smokers were subjects who had never smoked, whereas smokers were defined as former or current smokers), on thyroid antibody status and serum TPOab and Tgab levels were analysed using multivariate logistic regression analysis with cluster option and backward stepwise multivariate linear regression analysis (with a limit for entry into the model of 0.05) with cluster option respectively. The equality of means and variances across zygosity was tested using Mx and likelihood ratio tests (24) as well as a clustered version of Levenes test for homogeneity of variances (25).
Twin analyses The classic twin study is based on the assumption that MZ twins are genetically identical, and therefore differences between them are solely due to the environment. DZ twins share on average 50% of their segregating genes, and therefore differences between them are due to a combination of environmental and genetic factors (24, 26). If there is a substantial genetic component in the aetiology of the phenotype, a greater phenotypic similarity in MZ than in DZ twins is to be expected. Considering thyroid antibody status (dichotomized data), the similarity in MZ and DZ twins was assessed by probandwise concordance and tetrachoric correlations. Considering serum TPOab and serum Tgab as continuous data, Pearsons and intraclass correlations were used.
Probandwise concordance and tetrachoric correlations (dichotomized data) The probandwise concordance was defined as the proportion of affected co-twins of probands. Probandwise concordance expresses the risk that a twin is affected given an affected co-twin, and it is directly comparable with disease risk rates in the background population (27). The calculation of tetrachoric correlations is based on the assumption that there is an underlying normal distribution of liability to thyroid antibody status (24, 28). The trait becomes manifest when an individual exceeds a given threshold on the liability distribution (24). The threshold reflects the prevalence of the trait. Using Mx, the effects of age, gender, lnTSH and serum free T3 were incorporated in the model as covariates by assuming a linear dependence of the thresholds on the covariates. The results were compared with a model without adjustment. The difference in correlations between MZ and DZ twin pairs was assessed with a likelihood ratio test (24).
Correlations for serum TPOab and Tgab levels (continuous data) Pearsons correlations were computed separately, for the five groups of twins (MZ-male, DZ-male, MZ-female, DZ-female, OS). In addition, adjusted intraclass correlations for serum TPOab and serum Tgab concentrations were calculated for MZ and DZ same-sex twins. The adjustment for covariates was performed using the residuals resulting from the multivariate regression analysis described in descriptive analyses. For serum TPOab the covariates included age, lnTSH and serum free T3. For serum Tgab, the adjustment included age, lnTSH, serum free T3 and smoking.
Model-fitting procedure Structural equation modelling was used to estimate the magnitude of the genetic and environmental effects on the liability of thyroid antibody status as well as on serum concentrations of TPO and Tgab. The structural equation modelling approach is based on familial relations and was carried out using maximum likelihood methods in the software programme Mx. The observed phenotypic variance is decomposed into genetic and environmental contributions (24). The genetic variance is further subdivided into an additive (A) component and a dominance (D) component. The environmental contribution is divided into a shared/common environmental component (C) and a unique (E) environmental component. The heritability is defined as the proportion of the total variance attributable to total genetic variance (i.e. additive and dominance components) (24, 26).
C and D are confounded and cannot be estimated simultaneously in a twin study of MZ and DZ twins reared together (24, 26, 28). Reduction to nested submodels was attempted and the most parsimonious model in the analyses was selected (24). For comparison among nested models, we used a likelihood ratio test. The difference in 2 x log likelihood between a full model and that of a submodel (
2LL) is distributed as a chi-square statistic, with the degrees of freedom equal to the difference in the degrees of freedom of the models being compared (24). The selection of the best-fitting model was carried out using the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), which is based on a balance between goodness of fit and parsimony (24). AIC corresponds to
2LL 2 x
df. Models with the lowest AIC were preferred. Models were fitted to the raw data using raw data methods in Mx (29, 30). The effects of specific covariates (as specified earlier) were incorporated in the analyses. According to standard biometric practice (24, 28), we assumed equal environment for MZ and DZ twins, no epistasis (genegene interaction), and no geneenvironment interaction or correlation. The observed gender differences were examined including the OS twins in the model-fitting analyses of Tgab and TPOab levels. Including the OS twins allows us (i) to obtain a more precise estimate of the magnitude of genetic and environmental effects in males and females and (ii) to determine whether or not it is the same set of genes that operate in males and females. Specific information on sex differences derives from the correlation in OS twins. If the same set of genes act in males and females, the genetic correlation between males and females in OS twins is the same as in DZ twin pairs. Therefore, the model in which the genetic correlation between males and females in the OS twins was estimated freely, was compared with a model in which this correlation was fixed to be the same as in DZ twins, using chi-square statistic.
Statistical software
The descriptive statistical analyses were carried out using STATA. Level of significance was set to 0.05. Univariate quantitative genetic modelling was carried out using Mx (30).
| Results |
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Thyroid antibody status (dichotomized data)
The total number of subjects with thyroid antibodies was 98 (7.1%), compared with 174 (12.6%) and 73 (5.3%) using cut-off values at 20 and 100 kIU/ml respectively. A highly significant influence of age, gender, serum TSH and serum free T3 was found (Table 1
). The prevalence of thyroid antibodies across zygosity groups is given in Table 2
. Within the OS twin pairs a large difference in prevalence was found.
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Using multivariate regression analyses, for serum TPOab concentrations, a highly significant influence of age (with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)): ßage = 0.013 (0.0070.018, P < 0.001), gender: ßgender = 0.16 (0.28 to 0.04, P = 0.011), serum TSH: ßlnTSH = 0.30 (0.160.43, P < 0.001), and serum free T3: ßFreeT3 = 0.09 (0.16 to 0.03, P = 0.004) was found. Serum free T4, examination place and smoking had no significant influence.
For serum Tgab levels we found significant influence of age: ßage = 0.008 (0.0030.01, P = 0.001), gender: ßgender = 0.11 (0.20 to 0.01, P = 0.034), lnTSH: ßlnTSH = 0.09 (0.0070.17, P = 0.033), serum free T3 level: ßFreeT3 = 0.11 (0.16 to 0.05, P < 0.001) and cigarette smoking: ßSmoking = 0.17 (0.26 to 0.08, P < 0.001). Serum free T4 level and examination place had no significant influence.
Twin analysis
Probandwise concordance and tetrachoric correlations
The probandwise concordances and the unadjusted as well as the adjusted tetrachoric correlations for thyroid antibody status are shown in Table 3
. The concordance was higher in MZ than in DZ twin pairs. A pattern with high tetrachoric correlations in MZ twins as compared with DZ twins was found. Gender adjustment had the largest influence, whereas only minimal effect was demonstrated with additional adjustment for age, lnTSH and serum free T3 (data not shown). Using low and high cut-off values of 20 and 100 kIU/ml respectively, for TPOab as well as for Tgab, did not significantly change the overall findings (data not shown).
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The results of model-fitting analyses for serum TPOab and Tgab concentrations are given in Table 4
. The models that in the best way explain our data are DE models. Considering serum TPOab concentration as a continuous variable adjusting for age, gender, lnTSH and serum free T3, genetic influences explain 61% (95% CI: 4970%) of the variation for males and 72% (95% CI: 6478%) for females. Constraining the genetic and environmental estimates to be equal for males and females in TPOab levels did not cause a significant deterioration in model fit (P = 0.07), indicating that the heritability estimates are the same for males and females.
For serum Tgab concentration, adjustment included age, gender, lnTSH, serum free T3 and smoking, and the genetic influence was responsible for 39% (95% CI: 2451%) in males and 75% (95% CI: 6681%) in females. For serum Tgab levels, constraining the estimates to equality across gender provided a significantly worse fit (P < 0.001); therefore this model was rejected. This suggests differences in the magnitude of the relative contribution of genetic and environmental effects across gender. Yet, fixing the genetic correlation in OS twin pairs to be the same as in DZ twins for TPOab as well as for Tgab levels did not result in a significantly worse fit, implying that it might be the same set of genes that act in males and females for both phenotypes. In general, adjusting for covariates had negligible effect on the heritability estimates.
| Discussion |
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In cross-sectional twin studies, the magnitude of genetic influence seems to be the same in different stages of the autoimmune process comprising both overt Graves disease (3, 31) and overt Hashimotos thyroiditis (4), as well as their subclinical stages. A previous study, using very low cut-off values, found higher MZ concordance as compared with DZ concordance for TPOab as well as for Tgab (16). In the present study, the values for probandwise concordance are lower, but interestingly, the results did not change using different cut-off values. Moreover, the results were consistent using either categorical or continuous data, and in the latter, thyroid antibody values in the low range are included. However, the particular genetic variation involved in the tendency of having thyroid autoantibodies might not be identical to the variation of the risk of developing overt AITD. The influence of various genes and environmental factors may differ throughout different stages of the disease spectrum. Most probably distinct loci, such as the CTLA-4 gene (35), underlie the continuum of severity with additional modifying genetic or environmental factors which may lead to differential expression of the thyroid autoimmunity (2, 6, 21, 35).
This study as well as several other family and twin studies provides convincing evidence in favour of a strong genetic influence on thyroid autoimmunity. However, relating our results to the results of the existing molecular genetic studies an apparent paradox becomes evident, because the considerable efforts trying to map and identify these AITD susceptibility genes have met limited success (2, 3537). Assuming a continuum of the autoimmune process, we expect at least some of these AITD susceptibility genes to be responsible for the presence of antibodies (35). Several genomic segments exhibiting weak statistical association with disease susceptibility have been identified, but the lack of replication between the various studies is conspicuous (2, 36) especially having the suggested strong genetic influence in mind. The explanations for this apparent paradox are many. First of all, in many of the studies the limiting factors are disease loci with limited effects combined with small sample sizes (38). Furthermore, several combinations of genes within the genome are capable of causing similar or identical clinical endpoints. Finally, complex mechanisms such as epistasis (genegene interaction) and geneenvironment interaction most likely exist but are neglected. The precise characterization of a factors contribution to a complex disease may be difficult, because each factor forms part of a context dependency (6, 3941).
The present study may support the importance of complex mechanisms. Our results were characterized by high MZ correlations combined with very low DZ correlations, especially in females. Furthermore, in model-fitting analyses, the statistically best-fitting model was a DE model. This is not a biologically plausible model (42, 43). Several reasons may explain this result. First of all, the power to distinguish between the A and D components is low. Moreover, such results may indicate the presence of complex effects such as epistasis (39, 44, 45) or competitive sibling interaction (24, 46). We find it unlikely that sibling interaction effects are of importance in these biological phenotypes. However, our study cannot resolve the contribution of dominance and epistasis to non-additive effects (45), and it is possible that the estimate for non-additivity may involve epistatic interactions between loci rather than simple dominance interaction within a single locus. We suggest that the estimate of dominance is inflated at the expense of additive genetic variance due to the presence of unmodelled epistatic effects (45). This phenomenon would partly explain the apparent paradox with moderately heritable traits but in which locus-by-locus analyses have not yet detected loci with the predicted genetic effect (43). Epistasis reduces the overall amount of information available (39, 43, 47).
Using dichotomized data, the TPOab and Tgab data were combined and we were able to use different cutoff values. However, in this way we dichotomized what is actually a continuous variable, and it may reduce important variation. Yet, analysing TPOab and Tgab as continuous variables did not change the overall picture. A consistently strong genetic influence was found. However, the differences in MZ/DZ correlations were especially marked in females, and within the OS twin pairs the prevalence of thyroid antibodies was higher in females than in males. This indicates interesting gender differences. Under the assumption that the best-fitting model was a DE model for females as well as for males, the analyses suggested differences in the magnitude of the heritability estimate across gender for Tgab levels, but not for TPOab levels. Whether these results reflect differences in the aetiology remains to be established. On the other hand, adding OS twins allowed us to test whether different genetic influences operate in males and females. If the OS correlation is markedly less than the same sex DZ correlation, it can be inferred that sex-specific effects are operating. Nevertheless, this was actually not the case, and the results from model-fitting analyses suggested that it may be the same set of genes acting in males and females for both phenotypes. We tried to control for the effects of distinct risk factors and potential confounders by incorporating the linear effects of these specific covariates in the model (24). In general, adjusting for covariates had negligible effect on the results.
In conclusion, early markers of thyroid autoimmunity appear to be under strong genetic influence. The analyses suggest that it is the same set of genes that operate in males and females. Complex mechanisms such as dominance and/or epistasis (genegene interaction) may be involved.
| Acknowledgements |
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| References |
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